Despite what you may read or think about the music royalty payment debate for terrestrial radio, it is highly likely, in this reporter's opinion, to become a reality soon.
This will result in at least three significant changes in the radio industry:
Stations paying more for the right to play music - especially new music - will force hundreds of stations to choose to change formats to no music/more talk or radio formats that will take advantage of the wealth of unlicensed, independent artists and groups that are producing some darn fine music.
This move will inspire the rise in acceptance on FM of some current non-music formats such as news, news/talk, the new comedy radio format that was introduced in September and others that haven't been thought of yet.
This will help radio operators in at least two ways:
a) they will not be subject to unrealistic increases in music licensing fees and
b) the move to non-music formats will save stations over 50% in their current music licensing fees (BMI/ASCAP/SEASAC).
What a deal!
More creativity. Added performance fees for stations that continue to program music will force those stations to play fewer songs in order for their business models to function in a positive zone.
And as a very good friend and I were discussing over lunch the other day, playing fewer songs will force/encourage stations to develop other programming content that will not fall within the performance rights category.
In other words, the performance royalty fee increase will force today's programming people to be more creative - to rely less on the easy use of music to fill the space between commercials and actually create new content that will be compelling for listeners.
Imagine being compelled to listen to terrestrial radio because it will be offering exciting, fun, entertaining and interesting content that is proprietary and not available elsewhere.
This is starting to sound pretty OK!
What the industry may lose on the added royalty fee it will surely benefit from with fresh "compelling content" which should generate more audience which should increase advertising billing!
New music formats that take the added royalty into account. There are at least three never-before-heard radio formats ready to go that have been vetted in the field by Bridge Ratings & Research. Maybe some radio companies will find the courage to save themselves some money with exciting new radio programming.
What a concept!
So, ultimately, while the majority of the radio industry stands opposed to or at least doesn't see the fairness of the much-discussed performance royalty agreement, the industry will benefit from this forced "tax" by causing it to work harder to be better.
Perhaps this is the straw that finally pushes terrestrial radio to the point of action after at least ten years of stifled creativity.
Perhaps this will generate more jobs for the creative-minded programmers who have either lost their jobs over the last few years or left the business due to frustration.
And perhaps it will even open the eyes of young music-fans seeking employment who will once again see terrestrial radio as a viable platform to present their ideas and bring fresh blood into a radio industry that has been struggling to find new talent.
Yes, it's quite possible there is a silver lining to this whole new royalty thing...
Who's up for the challenge?
Friday, October 29, 2010
Thursday, July 29, 2010
"Is radio ready for a digital future?"
It's a question that has had high visibility over the last six weeks.
"Is radio ready for a digital future?"
It's been the title of a Bridge Ratings Study that was released on June 30, 2010.
And the title of a webinar I presented in July.
So, why did I give the title to this blog and why should you care?
Because after six weeks of disseminating this data across the web and in person, I'm finally ready to answer the question for you.
This was the most important graphic from the study and my webinar:
[click image to go to study]
This chart represents just how well terrestrial radio is satisfying radio listeners' Internet needs.
Not too good. (Pardon my grammar, mom)
The answer to the question is....
No. Radio is not ready.
Though its perception among radio listeners is poor, radio has all it needs to make it right.
Radio is having a good year. That's what I read and that is what market managers tell me.
Why not reinvest some of that new profit into the cost of setting up a qualified digital department?
Remember the story of the squirrel storing his nuts for a cold winter?
That's what radio's owners and operators are doing. Very few are taking the new found (and temporary) flushness and sinking it back into the product where it needs it.
Radio is gathering its profit nuts after a dismal 2009.
Who can blame them?
But still, the industry has the money to make some effort to build out a respectable digital division.
It can hire the right people.
It probably has the right equipment.
If it doesn't have the know-how, it can hire that, too.
So, if all of this is true, why does radio management avoid making the commitment?
Because it takes courage!
Because it takes courage!
Yet, COURAGE is precipitated by a perceived threat. That's what Daniel Webster tells me.
So, "this must be it", I think to myself. This is why the industry as a whole is not moving itself forward fast enough.
Because there is NO PERCEIVED THREAT.
And despite the fact that the threat is clear from digital entertainment options, by the time terrestrial radio perceives the threat and act, it will be too late.
The industry does have its handful of owner/operators who are investing as they are able.
And, for that, I am grateful.
But, it's the industry that is the concern.
Time is running out and the radio industry's place may well be marginalized by this time next year.
So, there. Asked. And answered.
Monday, June 21, 2010
Businesses have been trained for decades to beat the competition and to make a killing. Management principles are often taught using military strategies as analogies.
Yet in the natural order of things, being at the top and having the competitive advantage is merely transitory. In the realm of entertainment, new technologies are part of the evolutionary process. And because we are not returning to the way things used to be business, media in this case, is being called upon to be different and to operate differently.
The competitive advantage mass media such as radio have possessed for decades, is slipping away.
In a study conducted earlier this year on listener streaming trends as well as a report published in 2007, Bridge Ratings analyzed music consumption among radio listeners as well as new music discovery.
The essence of the 2007 study was that if traditional radio didn't respond to the new music discovery needs of its youngest listeners (12-24 year olds at the time), those listeners would find it elsewhere....and without hesitation.
This has happened.
The recommendation was for youth-oriented radio formats to take a much greater foreground approach to presenting and offering new music. At the time, and continuing to today mind you, programmers of these stations have done little to capture this new music curiosity exhibted by young music fans once the Internet introduced us to Napster, iTunes, Pandora and the dozens of other websites and applications that allow customized music consumption.
But the Bridge Ratings study uncovered a jewel. Young listeners to traditional radio who had wandered to other sources for their new music habit, had higher expectations from terrestrial radio and actually wanted radio to offer more new music.
Because while searching on-line and using Pandora, etc., can be fun, it is also fatiguing and takes time. Young listeners to traditional radio kept coming back to FM radio to check in and see if there was more new music content. Unfortunately, what they found was uninteresting to them.
And in the intervening time since that study was published, little has been added to youth formats to return them to traditional radio.
And now I fear it is too late.
A soon-to-be published Bridge Ratings study will continue to show significant usage (time-spent-listening) attrition for traditional radio among young listeners. That may not come as any surprise to you.
What may surprise you is those 12-24 year olds we surveyed in 2007 are now 15-27 year olds and radio's appeal to the 18-34 year olds is also fading.
Over time these listeners have gotten used to going elsewhere for this music discovery. They want to learn about what's the best of the best new music released each week and use that knowledge to guide them as to what to download.
It's no different, really, from when I was growing up. Seems my friends and I were trained by our Top 40 stations that on Tuesdays at 2pm, the new songs of the week would be featured in a countdown. We'd listen.
And we went down to our favorite record store and purchased the ones we liked.
Nothing has changed.
Why does traditional radio ignore the signs that many research companies like Bridge Ratings continue to publish?
I do not know.
I know this much though.
Contemporary music radio is rapidly becoming marginalized - pushed out to the farthest reaches of awareness and interest - because its audience is not being served. And as more alternatives become available, there is less desire to discover whether FM radio is responding.
It is remarkable that in the face of so much new technology and alternative entertainment, there is generally a lack of aggressive content development and technical adaptiveness at traditional radio headquarters.
CEO's have forgotten their business training. They have lost their courage to compete aggressively.
Whether it is a product of false security or just obtuse planning, terrestrial radio is in a position to lose its traction with a dominant audience most digital businesses covet.
A friend of mine at Harvard Business School has advised me that it is a good thing that radio is losing the competitive advantage.
Because, he says, sustainability in the new world order of digital media requires that the "old" lose their competitive advantage in order to shake its owners and management out of its doldrums and sense of security. This, in turn, is supposed to fire them up - dig deep within its creative teams to reinvent themselves.
This, I am told, is how business in 2010 faces shifting competition.
I have yet to see this "digging deep" that is supposed to reinvigorate the radio business.
If it doesn't happen soon, traditional radio may find itself not only marginalized, but it may find that it is included in a business course case study called "Terrestrial Radio: How it Lost the Great Advantage".